The Iran War continues kind of like we thought it would. US and Israeli bombing and Iran trying to hit back. Their decapitated leadership does not seem to have an organized response other than trying to shut down the Strait of Hormuz.
They have done that, but we are not sure how long they can keep it shut off. US forces are still hitting Iran and although gas prices are going up, it is also obvious that Iran cannot send out any oil either. Looks like the collapse is coming anyway you look at it. The question is "when?"
Still hoping for a popular uprising. US forces are hitting Iran's military and security pretty had. The new Ayatollah has yet to be seen and it is believed he is disfigured or even in a coma. I am thinking the IRGC is really running things.
This is something both the US and Iran have been planning for since 1980. It seems to be a US sledgehammer against Iranian hornet nest.
Iran has very little military capability left, but one missile or drone strike on an oil tanker in the Strait of Hormuz can cause chaos.
Of course, the oil companies would probably love that...
In the meantime, more airstrikes.
It took 40 days to knock Iraq down from the air in 1991, so we might be looking at more of the same.
US Marines are on the way fro the 31st Marine Expeditionary Force. No one is sure what they will be used for but I hope it is not a "boots on the ground" situation. Are they after the Iranian side of the Striat of Hormuz or Kharg Island (90% of Iran's oil gets pumped through there.)
Wars take a course of their own. Looks like it is happening again. No surprise.
Iran is not every going to be the same.



