The Islamic State is collapsing and we are not sure what will take its place. It is a lot like the fall of the Assyrian Empire in 612 BC, where a lot of successor states took its place. That might happen again.
Or is it time for an Achenamid flash back?
Iran, no fan of the Islamic State, has a lot of support in the Shia community of an unstable, unnatural Iraq, They get along with the Kurds and are allies with Assad's Syria. Iranian support for Hezbollah in south Lebanon is well known. It would not be inconceivable for Iran to be standing on the Med if not in a formal territorial sense, clearly in a diplomatic one. Russian support only makes this more likely.
If this scenerio were to come to pass, do you think Iran would stop there? The question then is will Iran and Saudi Arabia duel for support of the Islamic world or will the Iranians take Islamic leadership by attacking Israel?
The 21st century is supposed to be about the future, but it sure looks like a throwback at this moment in time.
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