Sunday, January 5, 2020

US vs Iran--Not going to happen

Despite some extremist (left and right) fantasies, there will not be a war with Iran.

Neither side is that stupid.

The United States will not invade Iran, a large country with mountains and deserts and over eighty million people.  Holding and occupying such a place would be a nightmare as we have seen in Iraq and Afghanistan.  The American people are tired of Middle Eastern wars.

And we are broke.

The worst the Iranians can do is launch some terrorist attacks which are essentially pinpricks and we can destroy their navy fairly quickly.  In the end, both sides are still standing and glowering at each other.

Any attempt by Iran to halt oil shipments through the Straits of Hormuz will result in the destruction of Iran's navy and oil industry as US airpower hit everything on the Iranian coast and work inland. 

Granted, history is full of wars that should not happen, but I really cannot see the United States attacking Iran without a major attacking hitting American forces.  Both sides will suffer a lot of damage and nothing changes in the long run.

If you are not willing to go out and destroy the enemy, don't bother.

No point for either side on this one.



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