Wednesday, November 24, 2021

China and Taiwan

 

Ever since the Chinese Communists drover the Chinese Nationalists off the mainland to the island of Taiwan in 1949, Beijing has vowed to take over the island and unite to China.  There have been some harsh words between the two and occasional shots fired at each other, but no war.  

At least not yet.

Over the last year, the tensions between the two have ratcheted up.   Taiwan has been protected by the Taiwan Strait, the small size of the Chinese Navy, and a US security guarantee. Chinese planes have violated Taiwan's airspace and th4 People's Republic of China's navy has expanded tremendously, clearly with the intention of taking Taiwan and challenging the United States for Pacific domination. 

A Chinese invasion of Taiwan would be difficult since it would take six hours for marines to get across the strait and the Taiwan.  There are only so many beaches to land on the island.  Taiwan has been waiting.

Beijing is not stupid.

Whatever China has planned, it will be indirect. Some sort of clandestine strike would work best.  The main reason is that Taiwan is the world's leading producer of semiconductors. That could be the reason for the US could get pulled in.

So, what China needs to do is win before US forces arrive.

Could a paralyzing Chinese strike on America be planned?

The Twenty-first Century might get interesting real fast.

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