Instead of 1991, it felt more like 1993....The head of the Wagner Private Military Company said he was "protesting" the prosecution of the war in Ukraine and then began driving towards Moscow, Would there have been an armed conflict if Progozhin, Wagner's founder and leader, actually made it to the Russian capital? It is hard to say, but like I said earlier, it was not 1991 or 1917.
No one is sure how this effects the war in Ukraine or what this means for Putin.
His term ends net year, so probably he will run out the clock and retire quitely,
Progozhin is supposed to be in Belarus as part of the deal they reached to end the rebellion in exchange for an exile to Minsk with no charges filed for revolting against Moscow. Now, the question is "do the Russian security forces gun him down."
Russia will probably just muddle along. China remains committed to their alliance and the United States continues to have mounting internal problems. If there is one thing I have noted about Cold War 2.0 is that no nation seems particularly competent.
China shouts about who anyone dealing with Taiwan will "play with fire" while the US military disintegrates from pronoun training and a recruiting problem that is getting worse.
Russia's conduct in Ukraine speaks volumes.
Instead of a race for world domination, it looks like a slow motion collapse of the demolition of the Kingdom c.1999.
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